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XRP Price Trends: Insights Into the First Sell Wave of 2026

MyShine January 9, 2026 3 minutes read
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Understanding XRP’s Latest Price Movement

The cryptocurrency market is off to a dynamic start in 2026, and XRP has been no exception. The digital asset experienced a sharp pullback, shedding 14% of its value after peaking on January 6. Despite the dip, XRP remains up approximately 11% over the past week, suggesting this is more of a healthy market correction rather than the onset of a bear cycle.

Who’s Selling, and Who’s Buying?

Analyzing on-chain data is crucial to understanding the forces behind XRP’s price movements. From December 18 through January 9, XRP exhibited a rising price trend, but On-Balance Volume (OBV) data showed a contrary signal. OBV tracks whether trading volume is flowing into or out of an asset. The divergence — with price rising and OBV falling — indicates weakening buyer momentum and discreet selling activity during rallies.

More importantly, OBV is approaching a descending trendline that, if broken, could trigger intensified sell pressure. However, this does not yet confirm a breakdown. Instead, it highlights that XRP is facing its first significant sell wave of 2026, likely driven by traders taking profits after a period of strength.

Long-Term Holders and Whales Are Accumulating

Interestingly, the sell-off isn’t coming from long-term conviction holders. Since January 5, the Hodler Net Position Change metric has shown a significant increase in holdings among long-term investors — from 47.4 million XRP to 55.4 million XRP, representing a 17% increase. Additionally, large whales holding between 100 million to 1 billion XRP have boosted their combined balances by 180 million XRP since January 6, equating to nearly $390 million in buying pressure at current prices.

This data underlines that the recent selling pressure is most likely from short-term traders, while long-term investors and whales are demonstrating confidence by accumulating.

Key Resistance and Support Levels

For XRP to break out from its current controlled pullback phase, it needs to breach key resistance levels. The first significant resistance is at $2.15, where a large cluster of holders previously accumulated. Beyond that, the $2.41 zone serves as a critical marker — this is where the recent sell-off began, and overcoming it could open the path toward $2.69.

Meanwhile, $1.97 remains a vital support level. Holding above this mark preserves XRP’s broader bullish structure. A failure to maintain this level, however, could signal escalating selling pressure and a potential shift in market sentiment.

Should You Be Tracking XRP Right Now?

If you’re considering entering the crypto market, tools like the Ledger Nano X are essential for securing your investments. As volatility continues to shape the market, staying informed about price trends can help you make well-informed decisions.

For now, XRP remains in a consolidation phase. The accumulation by long-term holders and key support levels holding firm suggest that this pullback is a pause in the trend rather than a sign of reversal. Investors should watch closely for a break above $2.41 to confirm renewed bullish momentum.

Bottom Line

The cryptocurrency market is notoriously fast-paced, and XRP’s current dynamics reflect the ebb and flow of short-term traders versus long-term believers. By staying up-to-date with on-chain metrics, key price levels, and market sentiment, you can navigate this exciting — yet unpredictable — space with confidence.

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