XRP Price Faces Key Support Challenges
As 2025 comes to a close, XRP is seeing significant turbulence, with analysts warning of a potential fall below the $1 mark. The cryptocurrency is currently on shaky ground, as insights provided by on-chain analyst Ali Martinez suggest the possibility of a drop toward $0.79. This analysis, shared via an X (formerly Twitter) post, highlights weakening support below $1.77, possibly paving the way for further bearish movement.
Understanding the Data Behind the Predictions
This price forecast leverages data from Glassnode’s UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD). The URPD data shows that a large proportion of XRP’s supply is concentrated at higher price levels, particularly between $1.95 and $2.14. This means many investors stand to experience losses if the price continues to decline, which often creates further sell pressure. Conversely, below the $1.77 level, demand appears to thin out, leaving the $0.79 zone as a key historical accumulation point that might act as the next significant support level.
Technical Indicators Signal Weak Momentum
The technical indicators reinforce bearish signals for XRP. The cryptocurrency is trading well below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $2.18 and its 200-day SMA of $2.55. Such a setup usually points to a bearish market structure, suggesting that rallies are likely to encounter resistance unless XRP successfully reclaims at least its 50-day SMA. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 41, indicating weak momentum. While not yet oversold, the RSI remains below the neutral midpoint of 50, highlighting subdued buying interest.
What Could Happen Next?
If XRP breaches the $1.77 level, intermediate zones around $1.41, $1.27, and $1.01 may provide temporary support, although these are unlikely to serve as long-term price floors. The $0.79 area stands out as the strongest support level, given its historical significance as an accumulation zone. For now, XRP remains under pressure, even amid broader bullish sentiment spurred by Bitcoin’s (BTC) attempt to reclaim $90,000.
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Final Thoughts
While XRP shows signs of short-term resilience, its technical and market data suggest a challenging road ahead. Investors should monitor key price levels and remain cautious about the potential for further downside. As always, it’s essential to conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before making investment decisions, especially in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market.
