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US–China Trade Deal Expected by Thanksgiving: Impacts on Bitcoin Explained

MyShine November 16, 2025 3 minutes read
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The cryptocurrency market is buzzing with speculation following Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s announcement of a potential US–China trade deal by Thanksgiving. This development has introduced fresh uncertainty into global markets, especially as Bitcoin dipped below $94,000 for the first time since May 2025. With lower liquidity during the holiday season, volatility could spike, leaving traders on edge.

Treasury Insights: A Possible Thanksgiving Deadline

Speaking in a recent interview, Bessent reaffirmed the US administration’s plan to finalize trade negotiations with China by November 27. While dismissing reports of delays, he said that the deal is still on track and emphasized leveraging enforcement measures should China fail to meet commitments. This confidence has sparked significant discussions in financial markets and is creating ripple effects in crypto trading.

Bitcoin, currently trading below $94,000, has seen a 2.08% dip in the last 24 hours. Analysts attribute this decline to rising leverage and the overarching influence of macroeconomic developments, with $100 million worth of crypto longs liquidated in just 60 minutes.

Why This Matters for Bitcoin and Crypto Traders

The timing of these trade negotiations around Thanksgiving coincides with a period of thin liquidity in traditional and crypto markets. Historically, Bitcoin’s price has been particularly reactive to geopolitical events during low-volume periods. Market observers warn that any delay or disagreements in the deal could lead to heightened selling pressure in the crypto space, while a finalized agreement could help stabilize market sentiment.

“The pullback we’re seeing is highly related to uncertainty in global policies,” notes crypto analyst Kyle Doops. “A holiday period like this, paired with political tension, is a perfect storm for volatility.” Traders should prepare for sharp price swings as the deal’s deadline approaches.

Minimizing Risk During Volatile Times

Given the likelihood of market turbulence, crypto traders should evaluate their portfolios and avoid excessive leverage in uncertain times. For those looking to protect their assets, consider storage solutions such as the Ledger Nano X, a secure hardware wallet for cryptocurrencies.

Implications Beyond Bitcoin

While Bitcoin remains the market driver, altcoins and other digital assets are also sensitive to macroeconomic shifts. Ethereum and other large-cap cryptocurrencies could mirror Bitcoin’s price movements, adding another layer of complexity to trading strategies in the coming weeks.

If the US–China trade deal goes through smoothly, it could inject optimism into risk assets, potentially leading to a recovery rally for Bitcoin. Conversely, a setback or conflicting policies could deepen the selling pressure. Traders are advised to closely monitor global news and safeguard against abrupt market moves.

Stay updated with the latest crypto insights to navigate uncertain times effectively.

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