Bitcoin’s volatility often raises eyebrows across the financial landscape, but the recent sharp decline has sparked intense speculation. Could the US government have played a role in orchestrating the latest Bitcoin crash? Rumors are swirling about planned moves linked to MicroStrategy ($MSTR), suggesting possible strategic intent behind this drop. Let’s dive into what’s really going on and separate fact from fiction.
Did US Sessions Drive the Bitcoin Crash?
Over the past week, Bitcoin experienced a significant price drop, prompting market observers to note a trend in regional trading patterns. During US trading sessions, Bitcoin suffered heavy losses, while Asian markets consistently bought the dip. This divergence has left many speculating about the possible involvement of the US government in shaping these outcomes for broader financial strategies.
Reports suggest a rumor that the US government may have intentionally driven down Bitcoin prices to position themselves advantageously for future investments, particularly in companies like MicroStrategy and Coinbase. The speculation even extends to alleged government interest in lowering MicroStrategy’s market value to net asset value (mNAV) ratio to 1.0, aligning with an engineered sell-off scenario.
What Are Analysts Saying?
Bitcoin pioneer Max Keiser and other prominent voices have fueled these rumors, positing a multi-billion-dollar US interest in MicroStrategy and Coinbase. However, it’s critical to note that no concrete evidence or official statements support these claims. These stories remain speculative at best, amplified by the internet’s echo chamber.
According to industry analysis, other valid factors could explain the volatility, including the potential impact of MSCI’s proposed index exclusion for companies with significant cryptocurrency exposure. If adopted, this policy could lead to an estimated $8.8 billion in passive fund outflows from firms like MicroStrategy, contributing to volatility in their stock performance.
Market Risks and Broader Implications
Beyond the rumors, the cryptocurrency market continues to grapple with macroeconomic factors, including Federal Reserve rate outlooks and bond market movements. These elements put pressure on riskier assets like Bitcoin, causing ripple effects across the market. MicroStrategy, for instance, has already faced a 60% drop from its highs, pushing its mNAV below 1.0 as of November 23, 2025.
Meanwhile, Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy, has been vocal about rejecting attempts to categorize his company as an asset fund or trust. Instead, he emphasizes its primary focus on software operations and Bitcoin-focused treasury strategy. The coming months, particularly MSCI’s decision in January 2026, will likely be critical for MicroStrategy’s market position.
Blockchain Data Adds a Layer of Complexity
Adding fuel to the speculation, blockchain data indicates that the US government reportedly holds more than 326,000 Bitcoins from prior forfeitures. While this could support long-term accumulation theories, no definitive proof links these holdings to any deliberate price manipulation.
The Bottom Line
While conspiracies about US-engineered Bitcoin crashes continue to circulate, the lack of verifiable evidence makes it vital for readers to remain skeptical. At the same time, the broader cryptocurrency market remains vulnerable to macroeconomic shifts, regulatory developments, and institutional movements.
For crypto investors navigating these waters, tools like the Ledger Nano X hardware wallet offer an excellent solution to secure holdings. A reliable and trusted hardware wallet can protect your Bitcoin amid market uncertainty, safeguarding your investments against potential threats both online and offline.
Remember, the cryptocurrency landscape is not for the faint of heart. Always exercise caution, conduct thorough research, and consult financial experts before making investment decisions.