Stablecoins are quickly transforming the global financial landscape, with implications that extend far beyond cryptocurrency enthusiasts. In recent warnings from South Africa’s central bank and Standard Chartered, the rapid adoption of USD-pegged stablecoins is becoming a significant concern for emerging-market (EM) banking systems.
Why Stablecoins Are Gaining Popularity
Stablecoins, primarily pegged to stable fiat currencies like the US dollar, have surged in popularity due to their low volatility when compared to traditional cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. In South Africa alone, trading volumes increased exponentially—from 4 billion rand in 2022 to a staggering 80 billion rand ($4.6 billion) by October 2025.
Emerging-market consumers and businesses are increasingly shifting their savings to these digital assets as a hedge against weak local currencies and fiscal instability. This shift is causing a structural transformation in banking functions, with funds moving from traditional banks to non-bank digital platforms.
The Warning from Standard Chartered
In a recent study, Standard Chartered noted that stablecoin adoption could drain up to $1 trillion from EM bank deposits over the next three years. This potential outflow could destabilize banking systems, especially in countries like Egypt, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka, where the risks of deposit losses are most acute.
Even modest outflows—estimated at around 2% of total deposits in some high-risk markets—can have outsized consequences for economies already grappling with twin deficits and fiscal pressures. Nations such as Türkiye, India, Brazil, South Africa, and Kenya could face severe capital flight underlining systemic vulnerabilities in their respective financial systems.
South Africa’s Regulatory Response
The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) has recognized these risks and highlighted the urgency for a comprehensive regulatory framework for stablecoins and other crypto assets. Herco Steyn, SARB’s macroprudential specialist, cautioned that without proper oversight, the borderless nature of cryptocurrencies could allow for the circumvention of exchange control laws.
Despite regulatory uncertainties, platforms such as Luno, VALR, and Ovex already serve close to 7.8 million crypto users in South Africa, holding up to $1.5 billion in custody. Given these trends, South Africa is actively working on rules to regulate cross-border cryptocurrency transactions and prevent financial instability.
The Path Forward: Balancing Innovation with Risk
As stablecoins continue to reshape banking habits, policymakers face a critical challenge. They must balance the promise of financial innovation with the imperative to safeguard banking stability.
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Ultimately, coordinated regulations that manage systemic risks while fostering innovation will determine the role of stablecoins in the future global financial system.