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Solana Price Analysis: Are Long-Term Holders Signaling a Potential Drop?

MyShine September 1, 2025 3 minutes read
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Solana Holds Above $200: Is a Correction Looming?

Solana (SOL) briefly reclaimed the $200 price level, but according to on-chain metrics, this momentum might not hold for long. Multiple indicators suggest that long-term holders are gearing up to take profits, which could trigger a correction. Here’s what’s happening and what it could mean for the SOL price.

Analyzing Key On-Chain Metrics

The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric is signaling caution. As of August 28, the NUPL value for long-term holders hit 0.44, the highest since March’s peak of 0.4457. Historically, this level has marked a tipping point for profit-taking, followed by significant corrections. For instance, when this peak was last observed in March, the Solana price dropped 41% in under two weeks. Currently, while the metric has dipped slightly to 0.40, it remains elevated.

Another important indicator is the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric. This metric measures older coins’ movement, often signaling major sell-offs. On August 27, CDD spiked as Solana traded near $203, and similar patterns over the past six months were followed by sharp price corrections. For instance:

  • In March, Solana fell from $142 to $118 after a spike in CDD.
  • On July 16, another spike led to a drop from $205 to $158.

These recurring patterns make it clear that caution is warranted for investors and traders.

Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

Technically, Solana is trading near $203 with $201 acting as a temporary support level. To maintain bullish momentum, SOL must close above $201 daily. A drop below $196 or $191 could signal further bearish movement, with a potential test of $175 on the downside. However, if bulls manage to reclaim $207 with a confirmed breakout, it could invalidate the bearish scenario.

Investing in Solana: What to Keep in Mind

While Solana offers immense prospects due to its scalable blockchain network, short-term trading requires careful monitoring of these metrics. Long-term holders appear to be taking profits, and technical indicators suggest that the current price level may not hold without strong support.

For those actively trading Solana, platforms like YouHodler and NEXO offer options to leverage or manage your crypto assets effectively. Additionally, beginners can explore tools on platforms like MEXC, which provides crypto trading insights.

Conclusion

The Solana price rebound above $200 is facing strong headwinds as on-chain data hints at a potential correction. Long-term holders are showing signs of profit-taking, and critical metrics indicate caution should be exercised. Keep a close watch on key levels at $201, $196, and $207, as they will determine the short-term direction of Solana.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional before making any financial decisions.

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