Billionaire investor Peter Thiel has made headlines after offloading his substantial stake in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), valued at over $100 million, as revealed by a newly filed Q3 2025 13F report from his hedge fund, Thiel Macro LLC. This major decision marks a significant strategic shift in the fund’s portfolio, with Nvidia previously accounting for an impressive 40% of its holdings.
Strategic Portfolio Changes
Thiel Macro’s overall U.S. equity portfolio shrank dramatically from $212 million to $74.4 million, signaling a move to reduce risk exposure. In addition to exiting Nvidia, Thiel reduced his position in Tesla by 76% while increasing investments in defensive giants like Apple and Microsoft. These moves underscore a growing shift among institutional investors from aggressive growth stocks to more stable, defensive allocations.
Nvidia’s Spectacular 2025 Performance
Nvidia has seen phenomenal growth in 2025, with its stock surging over 150% year-to-date. This growth has been driven by rising demand for its cutting-edge AI accelerators, including the Blackwell and GB300 Ultra, record-breaking data center revenue, and increasing spending by hyperscale clients.
Despite its stellar performance, concerns about overvaluation in Nvidia’s stock appear to have prompted high-profile investors like Peter Thiel, Michael Burry, and SoftBank to profit from their holdings. Earlier this week, SoftBank similarly sold its $5.83 billion Nvidia stake to fuel investments in new artificial intelligence ventures.
Focus on AI Industry Risks as Earnings Loom
Thiel’s exit comes mere days before Nvidia’s Q3 2025 earnings release, slated for November 19. Analysts are optimistic, forecasting record-breaking revenues of $50 billion to $60 billion, reflecting sustained growth in demand for AI infrastructure. However, the collective sell-off among institutional investors raises questions about whether Nvidia’s sharp appreciation is sustainable in the face of rising competition in the AI space.
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In a rapidly evolving market, decisions like Thiel’s are a stark reminder of the challenges and opportunities investors face. As Nvidia prepares for what analysts predict will be a blockbuster quarter, how will the AI industry navigate the waters of rapid development and heightened scrutiny?