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Cardano’s ADA Price Analysis: Will it Recover or Decline Further?

MyShine December 18, 2025 2 minutes read
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Cardano Price Analysis: Will ADA Recover or Fall Further?

In recent cryptocurrency market movements, Cardano’s ADA has captured attention as one of the worst-performing assets among the top 10 cryptocurrencies. With a 4% decline in the last 24 hours, ADA’s downturn stems from weak on-chain metrics and growing bearish sentiment.

Key Factors Driving ADA’s Downtrend

According to Santiment’s Social Dominance metric, discussions around ADA within the cryptocurrency sphere have significantly declined. As of Thursday, the metric hit an annual low of 0.032%. This decreasing interest underscores a weakened investor sentiment, further compounded by increased selling pressure as traders move ADA holdings from wallets to exchanges.

On-chain derivative data reveals additional bearish indicators. The OI-Weighted Funding Rate for ADA turned negative on Thursday (-0.0019%), indicating that more traders are shorting the cryptocurrency. Historically, a negative funding rate triggers significant sell-offs, and without a significant shift in market momentum, ADA appears primed for further value drops.

Technical Indicators Aligning with Bearish Momentum

From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour ADA/USD chart paints a bleak picture. Following a rejection from the falling wedge pattern’s upper trendline on December 9, ADA has lost 22% of its value. Currently trading at $0.36, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the 4-hour chart shows a reading of 31, inching towards oversold territory.

Moreover, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator showcased a bearish crossover earlier this week, reinforcing the negative outlook. If the bears maintain control, ADA might break below critical support levels near $0.27, last seen on October 10.

Outlook for ADA: Recovery Possible?

If the bulls regain momentum, ADA could approach the 50-day EMA at $0.47 in the short term. However, this scenario demands strong market support and renewed investor interest, which are currently lacking.

How to Invest in ADA Safely

Are you considering investing or holding ADA during the current downturn? Choosing a secure platform is crucial. Platforms like eToro allow you to trade ADA, offering features such as advanced analysis tools and multiple payment options. Remember to familiarize yourself with the associated risks of cryptocurrency trading as market volatility remains high.

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