Bitcoin’s Plunge Explained by Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes
Bitcoin’s recent price drop has ignited widespread discussion among crypto enthusiasts and financial experts alike. According to Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX and a respected market analyst, the decline in Bitcoin’s value is closely tied to a contraction in dollar liquidity, rather than conventional explanations like reduced institutional interest or government actions.
The Role of U.S. Dollar Liquidity
Hayes describes Bitcoin as a “free-market weathervane” for global fiat liquidity, emphasizing that Bitcoin’s price heavily depends on expectations around future fiat supply. He attributes the drop in Bitcoin prices below $90,000 to a lull in U.S. dollar liquidity, which impacted hedging activities and investments. On Tuesday, Bitcoin hit a seven-month low after erasing all its 2025 gains, marking what Hayes sees as a significant indicator of deeper market trends.
Institutional Investors and Basis Trades
A key driver of Bitcoin’s pricing dynamics has been institutional investors, who have increasingly utilized Bitcoin ETFs, such as BlackRock’s IBIT, for a trading strategy called