The cryptocurrency market is once again under pressure as big moves unfold in the final days of August 2025. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), the giants of the digital finance world, face significant challenges amid a $15 billion options expiry that has sparked market turbulence. But does this mean Bitcoin will crash below the psychologically crucial $100,000 level in September? Or could this just be a temporary shakeout?
A Rocky End to August 2025
As August wraps up, Bitcoin’s price has tumbled close to $110,000 while Ethereum has dipped below $4,360. Analysts suggest that major market players might be orchestrating a selloff to flush out leverage. This phenomenon, though not uncommon, has left many traders on edge, pondering whether BTC could test the $100K mark during September.
Understanding Options Expiry and Market Dynamics
Historically, major options expirations lead to sudden volatility as traders hedge positions, often triggering liquidations. Past market cycles, notably in 2017 and 2021, offer a roadmap: while expiry days lead to rapid downturns, the market tends to stabilize shortly after. Will September begin as another messy month for BTC before recovering?
Global Liquidity: A Positive Sign?
Despite recent price dips, global liquidity offers a glimmer of hope. Recent data indicates that global M2 liquidity has hit an all-time high—a promising sign for Bitcoin, as its price movements have often trailed liquidity trends. This divergence—rising liquidity alongside falling crypto prices—suggests that current weakness could be temporary, setting the stage for a potential surge later in September.
September 2025: A Bearish Start or Q4 Setup?
Traditionally, September has been one of Bitcoin’s weaker months, especially in years following a halving event. Early losses may see BTC testing the $103,000-$107,000 zone, with Ethereum likely to hover between $4,050 and $4,100. However, key support levels could pave the way for a recovery. If Bitcoin reclaims $113,500 and Ethereum clears $4,450, both assets might be positioned for strong upward momentum into Q4.
What Should Crypto Traders Watch?
Here are the critical levels to monitor:
- Bearish Break: If BTC slips below $109,000, it could target $103,000. Ethereum, meanwhile, risks falling to $4,100.
- Bullish Recovery: BTC breaking above $116,000 and ETH reclaiming $4,600 could signal renewed bullish momentum.
- Liquidity Trends: Rising global liquidity hints that dips in September may be short-lived. Staying patient and strategically positioned is key.
While headline-grabbing predictions might forecast a Bitcoin crash under $100K, historical patterns and macro liquidity indicate September 2025 could be just a minor setback in a bullish long-term trend. This dip could prove to be a strategic entry point ahead of what promises to be a thrilling Q4 rally.
Complementary Tool: Track Crypto Prices
Stay ahead of the market by monitoring real-time Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. We recommend Ledger’s Crypto Tracker to stay updated and make informed trading decisions. With its advanced tools and insights, you can navigate market volatility like a pro.
