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Bitcoin Weekly Analysis: Will It Reach $100k or Drop to $60k?

MyShine February 2, 2026 3 minutes read
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Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, is at a critical crossroads as it hovers above the $75,000 weekly support level. This pivotal moment could determine whether the digital asset climbs toward an ambitious $100,000 milestone or retraces to test the $50,000-$60,000 correction zone. Here’s a detailed breakdown of Bitcoin’s current market trajectory.

Bitcoin’s Current Position: Key Support Level at $75,000

As of now, Bitcoin trades just above the $75,000 support zone, a crucial weekly level that has been retested recently. The cryptocurrency has fallen beneath both the 20-week and 50-week moving averages, an unusual occurrence signaling potential bearish momentum. However, whether Bitcoin continues its upward cycle or faces deeper corrections hinges on how price action evolves in the coming days.

Scenario 1: Bullish Momentum to $100,000

For Bitcoin to confirm its bullish trajectory and hit $100,000, it must secure the $75,000 support level and maintain the higher-low structure seen in past cycles. A clean weekly close above the 50-week moving average, which is currently at approximately $100,400, would indicate renewed buyer confidence and align with the four-year market cycle theory.

Notably, traders should keep an eye on whether Bitcoin posts weekly closes above the April 2025 low. This would likely signal that the recent declines were merely pullbacks, rather than a shift in the asset’s long-term uptrend.

Scenario 2: Bearish Break to $60,000

On the flip side, failure to hold the $75,000 support level and breaking below April 2025’s low could open the door to a larger correction. The $50,000-$60,000 range would emerge as the key downside target, aligning with both psychological levels and historical pullback zones in previous cycles. A decisive breakdown here would invalidate the bullish higher-low structure and could mark the start of a prolonged corrective phase.

What This Means for Traders

The market’s next move hinges on two critical factors: whether Bitcoin can maintain weekly closes above $75,000 and how April 2025’s low holds under further selling pressure. Traders should closely monitor these technical levels to gauge whether the current drop is merely a pullback or the onset of a trend reversal.

As a top recommendation for keeping a close eye on Bitcoin’s movements, consider using the Ledger Nano X. This reliable and secure cryptocurrency wallet ensures easy access to your holdings while keeping them safe—even in volatile market periods.

Conclusion: A Critical Moment for Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s price action over the coming weeks will offer insights into its longer-term trajectory. Holding the $75,000 level and reclaiming the 50-week moving average are vital for the bullish scenario. Conversely, breaking lower could lead to a test of the $50,000-$60,000 range—challenging even the most seasoned traders. Stay informed and vigilant as Bitcoin navigates this key turning point.

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Previous: Ripple’s Next Moves: Insights into RLUSD Stablecoin and XRP ETF
Next: The Future of Cryptocurrency: ZKP Crypto and Market Trends

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