Is Bitcoin Poised to Cross $100,000 in January 2026?
Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, started 2026 at $88,000, leaving many investors with one burning question: Can it finally breach the $100,000 mark? While price action has been stagnant, three key on-chain metrics suggest a potential shift in the market’s dynamics.
Metric #1: Long-Term Holder Supply Trends
One of the most promising signs comes from long-term holder (LTH) supply data. According to analytics platform CryptoQuant, there’s been a positive shift in the net change of LTH supply, increasing by approximately 10,700 BTC. This indicates that long-term holders are no longer selling at scale, a behavior often observed during market consolidation phases. Such activity points to increased investor confidence, which is essential for stable market growth.
Metric #2: Long-Term Holder SOPR Stabilization
The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for long-term holders is holding near the 1.0 mark. This means that coins are not being sold at significant losses or gains, signaling a balanced market. Historically, this stabilization aligns with a phase where markets recover after major corrections, rather than heading into further declines.
Metric #3: Decreasing Sell-Side Supply on Exchanges
Bitcoin exchange netflows are another crucial indicator. Recent data shows that more BTC is leaving exchanges than entering, reducing the immediate sell-side pressure. This trend supports the long-term accumulation narrative, even though weak demand and tighter liquidity due to macroeconomic factors have kept prices from breaking out.
What Needs to Happen for Bitcoin to Hit $100,000?
Despite the improving on-chain metrics, experts suggest that a move to $100,000 in January 2026 would require a significant market catalyst. Potential triggers could include favorable regulatory developments, institutional inflows, or unexpected macroeconomic shifts like U.S. interest rate cuts.
Prepare for Market Volatility
For those looking to invest, this could be a prime opportunity to accumulate Bitcoin during its consolidation phase. Tools like the Coldcard Hardware Wallet provide a secure way to store cryptocurrency for long-term holding. As always, consult a financial adviser before making investment decisions.
Final Thoughts
The $100,000 milestone remains an ambitious goal, but with easing sell pressure and growing long-term confidence, Bitcoin has the foundation for a potential movement upward. Patience and careful strategy may reward investors in this evolving market landscape.
