Bitcoin, the world’s leading cryptocurrency, finds itself at a pivotal moment as it inches toward a potential bullish breakout. With recent trends marking a notable decline in selling pressure, industry analysts and enthusiasts remain optimistic about the future price movement of BTC.
Bitcoin’s Recent Performance and Market Movement
Over the last few weeks, Bitcoin has recovered impressively from $84,000 to stabilize around $91,400. A key factor driving this recovery has been a steep drop in Total Exchange Volume. Specifically, transactions have dropped from 88,000 BTC to around 21,000 BTC, indicating decreasing sell activity and a strengthening bull market.
Why does this matter? When exchange deposits decrease, it often signals reduced selling pressure among investors. This trend is further supported by data showing average deposits per investor dropping from 1.1 BTC to 0.7 BTC, reflecting weakened selling momentum by both whales and short-term holders (STH).
The Role of Whales and Short-Term Holders
Recent data highlights that whales and STHs have been key drivers behind Bitcoin’s price trajectory. Over the last month, whale deposits decreased from 47% to 21% across cryptocurrency exchanges, while short-term holders exhibited similar sell-off trends.
Interestingly, many of these sales came at a loss, with this group realizing negative profit margins. The Sell/Profit Ratio (SOPR) for STHs dropped to 0.97 and has remained steady, suggesting a potential rebound is on the horizon. Historical patterns have shown that when investors incur significant losses, market recovery often follows.
Will Bitcoin Break Key Resistance Points?
Looking forward, forecasts suggest Bitcoin could rise to test the $98,700 resistance level. Should momentum continue building, the price might even surpass the $102,000-$112,700 range, a bullish zone noted by on-chain traders.
Industry insiders Farzam Ehsani, Co-Founder of VALR, and Ray Youssef, CEO of NoOnes, have commented on the market’s delicate balance. Ehsani points out that expectations of eased monetary policy by the Federal Reserve could further uplift market optimism. However, Youssef warns that challenges persist, including weak ETF inflows and subdued buying demand, which may hinder a sustainable rally.
The Takeaway: What to Expect Next
As Bitcoin stabilizes near the $91,400 mark, its potential breakout depends heavily on easing sell pressure and increased buying interest. If these factors align, BTC could see a renewed bullish trend targeting $100,000 in the long term, possibly materializing by early 2026.
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