Bitcoin’s Volatility: Breaking Down Recent Trends
Cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, has always been a rollercoaster for investors. As of November 18, 2025, Bitcoin is trading at $91,491, marking a 4.27% drop in the last 24 hours. This pullback has extended the week’s losses to 12.9%, placing short-term sentiment under significant pressure.
The Year in Review: Bitcoin’s Journey
At the start of 2025, Bitcoin was valued at approximately $93,425. Fast forward to today, and the cryptocurrency has experienced a 2.07% year-to-date decrease. For context, an investor who allocated $1,000 in Bitcoin on January 1, 2025, would currently hold about $979—demonstrating the impact of Bitcoin’s high volatility on potential returns.
The Current Market Position
Bitcoin recently dipped below the $90,000 psychological threshold, signaling a potential bearish trend. Moreover, it has fallen under its 50-week moving average of $105,000, a critical benchmark often used to gauge overall market momentum. The last time a similar pattern emerged was in January 2022, which many analysts interpreted as a sign of continued downward pressure.
Technical Indicators: What Are They Telling Us?
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) presently reads 28.9, indicating oversold conditions. Nonetheless, there’s no definitive sign of a reversal yet. Key technical levels include the $88,000 support zone, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Failure to stabilize above this point could open the door for further declines toward $85,000—the lowest point reached in 2025 so far.
Institutional Activity Under the Microscope
Market participants are closely monitoring wallet activity and Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) flow transactions. Increased institutional buying could brighten the short-term outlook. Conversely, if outflows accelerate, they could signal further downside risks.
Long-Term Outlook: A Balancing Act
While Bitcoin has maintained stronger valuations compared to prior years, the recent dip is a stark reminder of the cryptocurrency’s volatility. For sentiment to shift to a more positive note, investors would need to see a sustained recovery above $88,000 and perhaps even a return above the 50-week moving average of $105,000.
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