XRP Shows Muted Reaction Despite Whale Activity
In the ever-dynamic cryptocurrency market, both seasoned traders and newcomers often monitor whale transactions as a key indicator of impending price action. For Ripple’s XRP, the narrative remained subdued despite an impressive spike in whale transfers. On its busiest day in four months, XRP recorded 716 transactions exceeding $1 million, sparking intrigue across the crypto community.
Short-Term Holders Accumulate Amid Volatility
Recent data from Glassnode reveals a noticeable shift toward short-term holders (STHs) increasing their exposure to XRP. HODL Waves data showcased growth especially in the 1-3 month and 1 week-1 month holding cohorts. This indicates that capital rotation into XRP is being driven by active market participants, rather than long-term holders looking to exit their positions.
While short-term wallets expanded their share of the circulating supply, whale activity also surged significantly, pointing toward potential market optimism. Despite this, Ripple’s XRP still struggles to breach major resistance levels, muddling the outlook for a near-term bullish breakout.
Derivatives Data Reflects Stability
Interestingly, XRP’s derivatives market presented a different picture. Aggregated Open Interest (OI) remained steady at around $1.30 billion throughout the past week, even as spot price volatility surged. Additionally, funding rates were relatively stable at 0.0057, indicating neither overwhelming long-side leverage nor overcrowded bearish positions. The restrained action in the derivatives market signals a speculative shift toward spot accumulation, a sign that long-term confidence may be gradually building under the surface.
Price Action and Momentum Indicators
On the price front, XRP showed limited progress. At the time of writing, the token struggled to break above key exponential moving averages (EMAs) at the $2.24 level. All major EMAs (20, 50, 100, and 200) remained above the token’s spot price, reinforcing concerns over potential downward pressure.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered around 41, leaving XRP in a neutral-to-bearish territory. Traders are unlikely to gain significant momentum until XRP reclaims the $2.36-$2.50 EMA cluster as support. However, without sufficient buy-side volume, continued consolidation or further downside prices could be more likely in the near term.
Looking Forward: Cautious Optimism Builds
While technical indicators point to a challenging road ahead for XRP, the increase in whale transactions and the steady accumulation of short-term holders suggest that some level of market confidence is forming. For those exploring the crypto space, keeping an eye on broader market trends and sentiment will be key to anticipating XRP’s next move.
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